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Alan Kay: The 100 Dollar Laptop and Powerful Ideas
Alan Kay preopares for his talk (click to enlarge) |
Alan Kay’s evening talk is entitled Learners, Powerful ideas, and the $100 Laptop. He says that he’s never found the right order for the ideas in the title.
Computer companies in the 1960s thought Moore’s law meant that they’d get higher margins. Web presses are amazing pieces of technology, but when you look at it, you don’t see anything that tells you about how it changes things. Similarly, looking at the DynaBook in 1968 doesn’t tell you the most important things. Thus, the idea of a $100 laptop isn’t important because of the technology.
Half the price of a typical laptop is the marketing and distribution. Get a non-profit and drop that. Half of the remaining cost is Microsoft, or more generally commercial software vendors. Free and open source software more than adequately covers the computing needs of most people, particularly children. The fact that there are $122 DVD players says you can build a $100 laptop. The cheapest hard drives are too expensive; so use flash memory.
One big problem is the grey market. They’ll be diverted from children unless you do something to protect the laptop. A few ideas: an RFID card keyed to the specific owner helps. The device is networked, so the owner of the device has to log in every few days to get a token to keep it working. The color (green) helps. The child’s picture could be embedded in the plastic case.
The initial order will be between 6 and 10 million. There are about 50 million laptops manufactured each year. There are between 80 and 100 million phones manufactured per year. The $100 laptop uses a mesh network and is similar to a cell phone with a big keyboard and screen. There’s a crank to generate power.
The real win is that the $100 laptop is a factor of 20 cheaper than the books that children need. Content is the key. “The music isn’t a piano.” From an educational standpoint, this project could be a colossal flop if the content isn’t right. What’s the right interface for children in an environment where the adults can’t help much. Can you connect children to pen-pal like mentors over the Internet? The logistics are monumentally hard.
When ever a medium comes in, it takes on the attributes of the old medium that it’s replacing. Guttenberg created fonts that matches the ligatures that medieval script’s used. The still illuminated them by hand and made them big. Just like the handwritten books. 150 years later, Newton published Principia, a use of the new medium which out it to a completely new use: convincing others of your ideas.
Introducing rabbits into Australia doesn’t give you rabbits and Australia. Rabbits changed the Australian landscape. When you add a new way of talking about ideas, you’re adding them to an existing ecology. You change what “normal” is. The $100 laptop has the potential to chance cultures in significant ways. The impact will be different in China than it is in Brazil.
Alan references a paper call “What the Frog’s Eyes Tell the Frog’s Brain.” it turns out that the frog makes the decision of what is food and what is not in it’s retina. You can’t train frogs to eat food they’re not genetically programmed to eat. We’re not like flys…or are we?
Next he references the work of Tom Bower (1966) on babies. Humans are not hard wired for most things, but learn what’s important. Still, anthropologists have identified about 300 universal traits of cultures. There are also interesting things that are not universal. Reading and writing, equal rights, abstract math, perspective drawing, theory of harmony, agriculture, legal systems, science are some examples. These are powerful ideas that are rare. Formal education isn’t needed to teach the universals. Formal education is needed to teach the non-universals.
You can perform logical operations on maps that are real as well as maps that are not real (if X is north of Y and Y is north of Z, then X is north of Z). Science is about taking logical models and applying them to the real world. When we got to space, there were no surprises about what the earth looked like. We had models that were that good. That’s what science does—put together models.
Alan shows how you can teach complex math with cut out shapes. He segues into showing how children can uses Squeak to learn math. He remarks that most educators can’t see how this is math because they’re not mathematicians.
The important question surrounding the $100 laptop is “will it be more than a mere technological artifact?” The answer depends on whether the content, and especially the mentoring, can be brought along with it to have real impact.
Posted by windley on February 23, 2006 10:47 PM





Comment from frazerb at February 27, 2006 2:45 PM
Good analysis of the periphery issues to do with the $100 laptop - most of which get ignored most of the time.
Note there are nearer 1 Billion phones shipped every year, not 100 Million. Important difference.
Indeed, I'm convinced that the thing that will succeed is not the $100 laptop but rather the $50 (or even the $20) mobile phone. The economies of scale argument alone (see the 1 Billion comment above) suggest that we can make handsets much cheaper than "laptops".
Furthermore, it's the connectivity that will make this very low cost device most useful - so, we should build the connectivity into the heart of the device - ergo it will be more like a phone with a larger screen and a data capability than it will be like a laptop.
Comment from Joe Surfer at February 27, 2006 3:47 PM
A $100 laptop for third world children is a dumb idea. If you really want to improve these kids lives, spend the money on immunizations and promoting democracy & capitalism instead.
If for some non-rational reason you feel you must spend money on computer technology, give them used Windows laptops (of which there are hundreds of millions being sent to landfills every year), or even better, give them cheap cellphones.
Comment from Pete at February 27, 2006 7:43 PM
Joe Surfer, would I be correct if I assumed that you're pulling the "hundreds of milllions" number (of used Windows laptops being sent to landfills) out of your ass? :) If not, I'd really like to see a source, as I wouldn't have thought it possible the number could be anywhere near that high.
There are a *lot* of reasons why they wouldn't try this sort of thing with used laptops, but just for the most fundamental - all such laptops require powerpoints to recharge their batteries, if indeed they have working batteries at all. The "$100" laptops are intended for environments where powerpoints are rare or completely unavailable - that's why the hand crank recharge mechanism.
There's other technology reasons (for the specialised $100 laptop) as well, like the wireless mesh networking capability (I'd be amazed if *any* wireless-capable laptops were going to landfills yet) and the dual-mode display - colour or black-and-white (for readability in bright sunlight).
Then there's the scaling reasons - can you even imagine how much cost/effort would be involved in going through even hundreds of thousands of dumped laptops, extracting the usable ones, installing software on the widely varying hardware? It'd actually cost far more than $100 per laptop just in labour time.
By contrast the economies of scale work in favour of the "$100" laptop production line. Consistent hardware, designed and engineered for the intended purpose, easy to load the OS image as part of the production line. And as more laptops are produced, the production efficiency will increase - further lowering the per-unit cost.
The cellphones suggestion is quite different, and not a bad idea in some respects - but you can't do anywhere near as much with a cellphone as you can with even a limited laptop. It's not as good for reading, and it's certainly much worse for writing more than a sentence.
Comment from jose at February 28, 2006 6:16 AM
I think is much much important to give 100$ to our childer, and not childen, before giving it to another countries.(I'm not american)
Why it's not possible to read books with computers (little controllers) and e-ink devices?. I'll tell you, because it's very expensive, first own this device, second the processing power needed is huge.